Structural Deficit
Structural Deficit
Structural Deficit Market Archetype Mechanical Natural
Tier
Priority Review
Trajectory Thumbprint

Structural Deficit

What does this mean?

Persistently low financial health over 5 years despite strong programmatic output. They are borrowing from their future (or bleeding an endowment) to pay for today's programs.

The Path Forward

The Truth-Teller

Forces necessary, painful cuts to preserve the core. It demands that the organization stop borrowing from its future and align its current programmatic output with actual sustainable revenue.

The Truth-Teller
The Truth-Teller
Institutional Health Scores
5-yr trend: Structural Deficit
Overall
36
Score
Governance
55
Score
Financial
5
Score
Program
60
Score

Institutional Epochs

2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Financial Era
Governance Era
Trajectory Era
Structural Deficit

Historical Performance

Year Revenue Top Comp Comp % Rev Score Phase Label Outlook Details
2025 Hidden Hidden Unknown
2024 8.0% 36 Financially Distressed Recovery
2023 10.0% 38 Fragile Recovery
2022 24.7% 31 Critical Intervention Needed Recovery
2021 22.7% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Stable Watch
2020 23.5% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Stable Watch
2019 18.5% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Decline Risk
2018 20.3% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Decline Risk
2017 8.3% 34 Critical Intervention Needed Recovery
2016 19.5% 25 Critical Intervention Needed Decline Risk
2015 10.8% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Stable Watch
2014 10.8% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Stable Watch
2013 10.9% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Stable Watch
2012 13.3% 29 Critical Intervention Needed Decline Risk
2011 13.0% 33 Critical Intervention Needed Stable Watch

Officer compensation history

Tax year 2025

Name Title Phone Email Compensation
Cynthia Meier Board Member 8.0% of Rev
Paul Winick Board Member
Peter Hovell Board Member
Eloise Gore Board Member
Allen Hile Board Member
Meg Hovell Board Member
Katherine Jacobson Treasurer
Bill Krauss Board Member
Marianne Leedy Chairman
Kristina Lewis Chairman
Ronda Lustman Board Member
Carol Mangold Board Member
Kate McMillan Board Member
Clay Shirk Board Member
Susan Tiss Board Member
Andy Watson Board Member
Jim Wilson Board Member
Sally Krusing Board Member
Julie Cohn Board Member
Vicki Ettleman Board Member
Sally Krusing Board Member
Ann Lettes Board Member
Gian Morelli Board Member
Bill Sandel Secretary

Tax year 2022

Name Title Phone Email Compensation
JOSEPH MCGRATH Artistic Director 7.1% of Rev
CHRISTOPHER JOHNSON Board Member 5.1% of Rev
CYNTHIA M MEIER Board Member 4.9% of Rev
THOMAS WENTZEL BUSINESS MANAGER 2.2% of Rev
SUSAN COLLINET HOUSE MGR 0.2% of Rev
STU SALASCHE Board Member
CLAYTON SHIRK Board Member
KRISTINA LEWIS Board Member
CAROL MANGOLD Board Member
SUSAN TISS Board Member
ANDY WATSON Board Member
JIM WILSON Board Member
WARD WALLINGFORD Board Member
JOAN WARFIELD Board Member
MARIANNE LEEDY Board Member
KAREN DELAY Board Member
NORMA DAVENPORT Board Member
ELS DUVIGNEAU Board Member
MEG HOVELL Board Member
TODD HANSEN Board Member
PAUL WINICK Board President
BILL SANDEL Secretary
PETER HOVELL Treasurer
RONDA LUSTMAN Board President
Officer contact details, exact compensation figures, and active litigation are available to verified members.
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Score breakdown

Score breakdown

Financial resilience
5 / 100
weight 40%
Governance risk
55 / 100
weight 40%
Program scale
60 / 100
weight 20%
Overall
36 / 100
Priority Review

The three components combine into a single 0–100 score weighted as shown. Full methodology →

Peer comparison

Compared to 118 other orgs in AZ with NTEE prefix A6.

Most-divergent component: program score sits 28 points above the peer median (60 vs. 32).

5-year trend: Structural Deficit

Persistently low financial health over 5 years despite strong programmatic output. They are borrowing from their future (or bleeding an endowment) to pay for today's programs.

What's driving this score

What would change this score

The two changes that would most improve this score:

  1. Build cash reserves to at least 3 months of operating expenses — moves financial resilience score meaningfully (~10 points).

Improving governance is a board decision. These are the levers.